Clea Ward, director of career development and external relations with the University of New Brunswick Law School, says she has begun to notice a slight decline in the number of positions offerred by firms. “I have a slightly higher number of third years looking for articling positions at this time than I have in the past few years,” she says. “It’s not up dramatically, but up probably between five and 10 percent more than usual.”

Ward says when she gets down to the last few months of placing third years, they often end up getting placed in the small- and mid-sized firms outside of the major urban centres. This has her left with a bit of concern, since such firms may not have the additional resources to weather the economic storm. “One thing I am worried about is that more and more of those firms are going to opt to not take on an articling student this year, just because of the uncertainty in the economy,” says Ward.

Generally speaking, she doesn’t have much hard evidence of this happening yet. During her conversations with firms in New Brunswick and the Atlantic region, she says they have told her they’re doing quite well and there’s still plenty of work to go around. But as with Lepofsky, she says it’s what’s in the pipeline that might be the cause for concern. “I think that everybody’s worried that maybe in six months it may start to affect them, so they’re a little worried about committing to taking on a student if there’s not enough work to do throughout the year.”

Ward can offer one exception to the lack of evidence of an impact. She points to the articling program offered by the Attorney General’s office with the New Brunswick Department of Justice. It typically takes on three articling students — one francophone, one anglophone, and one bilingual student. This year, it has cancelled the program completely. “Our [University of New Brunswick] students wouldn’t ever fall into the one francophone category because they’d either be bilingual or anglophone, but that’s potentially two articling positions for our students that were lost. And that happened in the fall, so I think that has kind of set the tone, and likely made our third-year students a little bit anxious.”

It is the third years that appear to be experiencing the most anxiety, she says. “We’ve got a few more than usual this year looking, and I think that there’s a sense that it’s a bad year to be approaching those small and mid-size firms, and that there are not opportunities that there normally would be.”

“What firms are telling me is they’re not changing their numbers with respect to first- and second-year hiring — I think everybody is really optimistic that this will work its way out in a year two — but the people who are caught up the worst in it, in the crux of it, are people who are articling right now, and third years who are still looking for articling positions,” says Ward.

While most hire-back decisions haven’t been made yet, Ward says as we approach that season she’s been hearing some rumblings from the legal profession about how things will turn out. “I think what everybody’s saying is that the students who are going to be hit the worst with all of this are people who are articling right now, because when firms are looking to see whether or not they’re going to take on an extra associate, I think the hire-back rates are going to be pretty low this year,” says Ward.

Robyn Marttila, director of the career and professional development office at the University of Western Ontario’s law school, agrees that students are anxious to see what’s going to happen. “Many of the firms haven’t announced [hire backs] yet, although, frankly what I’m hearing is that certainly the hire-back rates, most people are anticipating that they’re going to be a little lower this year than they have been in the past,” she says. Marttila is optimistic though. “Some firms, I suspect, will try and hire back all — even though they’re not as busy as they’d like to be — just because they don’t want to lose really good talent, and they’re also quite concerned about their reputation I think.”

She says in terms of summer hiring, she has seen a slight decline, albeit not quite as drastic as many have been anticipating. “There were some firms that reduced their numbers quite a bit, but other firms actually increased by one or two, so it sort of evened out to some extent.” She says students looking for placements outside of Canada have taken a hit though. “I think what did make a huge difference this year, in terms of the summer recruit, is that candidates who normally would have secured positions in other markets, in particular in the U.S. and in the New York market, didn’t get offers this year because of the state of affairs there. So those students were thrown back in the mix, competing for the Toronto positions.”

Marttila says there’s still optimism for the Canadian market, and hopes things won’t take too long to rebound. “From what I’ve heard from my contacts is that they’re anticipating that certainly things will turn around within the next 18 months or so,” says Marttila. “So I think there’s optimism there, which is good, and I think that at the same time people have to understand that we aren’t really over-leveraged in Canada like some of the U.S. firms. We don’t have that same model of having 30 associates to one partner. So I think that it’s a little different experience in Canada.”

It can’t be argued that the anxiety will continue for a while, but as everyone is quick to remind, this is a normal part of any lawyer’s life, especially for students. “I think traditionally, from what I understand, there’s always anxiety amongst students about the summer and articling recruiting — but I suspect that has certainly been heightened with the current economic climate,” says Marttila.

“It’s a hard year,” Ward tells Canadian Lawyer 4Students. “It’s a hard year for everybody, and we’re really hopeful that at the end of the day, by May, by graduation time, we’ll have placed as many people as we normally do, and it just means everybody has to work a bit harder to find and make those opportunities.”